AUDJPY: Profit Is My Density

Friday, February 19, 2010

No, that's not a typo. It's a rip-off of a line from the Back To The Future movie. Anyway, this post is another in the series of theoretical considerations with respect to various robot building strategies.In this scenario let's consider fixing our maximum total position size across a specific price range. For example, perhaps we are willing to purchase 10000 units per 1000 pips (remember, I'm

AUDJPY: Range Or Reversal?

Thursday, February 18, 2010

The AUDJPY has had a nice run just recently.However, the 1HR is showing a small double top. Obviously, we might be looking at the beginning of a range discovery action or perhaps even a reversal if we get renewed panic concerning Greece or similar situations.Be patient and look for good opportunities.Now if only I can take my own advice... ;)

AUDJPY: A Change Of Mind

Thursday, February 11, 2010

Finally, something has happened to lift the pall from the AUD/JPY market.What happened? The Australian economy showed signs of heat. We have recent employment numbers that absolutely blew away expectations.Apparently, today, the AUD/USD moved from a value that gave a 25% chance of a hike in march to a 50% chance of a hike in march. Do you remember me talking about the need for a upside


Thursday, February 4, 2010

While I've been talking about the cake being baked we've just done nice big double top over the course of October 2009 through February 2010 on the daily charts.Obviously, this doesn't have to "fire" but it does invite a big panic drop to retest the July 2009 low of 70.75 or so. Considering today's rapid plummet of 300 points at this point who can say.As I noted on my last post I do think people

AUDJPY: The Cake is Baked

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Well, the RBA just decided not to increase rates.Recently, China decided to tighten up capital requirements for lenders.Also, there has been talk of taxing or otherwise restricting carry trade activities.Lest we forget, recent news in Australia is mixed.The US market has been skittish.Emerging markets have been very skittish.So, what am I trying to say?I'm thinking the cake is baked. You might

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